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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
210 comments
210
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Singapore
80%
Taiwan
75%
Vietnam
72%
9 others
6
8 comments
8
Chinese AI Chips
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO South-East Asia Region by March 27?
Resolved :
2.93k
50 forecasters
6
16 comments
16
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?
80%
56 forecasters
9
22 comments
22
How many FAO domestic food price warnings in spring 2023?
Resolved :
16
18 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa no longer be the President of Sri Lanka before 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
73 forecasters
6
28 comments
28
Verity
Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?
Azerbaijan
707k
Haiti
208k
Sri Lanka
172k
4 others
10
6 comments
6
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World
4
16 comments
16
Metaculus Journal Archives
Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Sri Lanka?
Anura Kumara Dissanayake
Yes
Sajith Premadasa
No
Ranil Wickremesinghe
No
2 others
5
8 comments
8
2024 International Elections Hub
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