Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
If Republicans win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 election, who will be the next Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives?
Rep. Tom Emmer
Yes
Rep. Jim Banks
No
Rep. Drew Ferguson
No
3
23 comments
23
[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress?
Kevin McCarthy (R)
Yes
Andy Biggs (R)
No
Patrick McHenry (R)
No
10 others
18
75 comments
75
[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?
Mike Johnson (R)
Yes
Kevin Hern (R)
Annulled
Elise Stefanik (R)
No
18 others
15
122 comments
122
condition
Next US Speaker of the House? (Steve Scalise (R))
Resolved :
No
5 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Government Shutdown Before 2024?
43%
43%
Resolved :
Annulled
US Government Shutdown Before 2024?
65%
65%
Resolved :
No
1
1 comment
1