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Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?
0.2%
485 forecasters
59
102 comments
102
Superconductor Frontiers
Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025?
0.1%
159 forecasters
16
23 comments
23
Superconductor Frontiers
Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?
1%
89 forecasters
9
8 comments
8
Superconductor Frontiers
Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?
Resolved :
No
417 forecasters
53
98 comments
98
Superconductor Frontiers
Will an attempted replication of LK-99 superconductivity be published before August 4, 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
117 forecasters
13
19 comments
19
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
condition
Room-temp Superconductor Replicated by 2025
39 forecasters
if yes
if no
Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025?
5%
5%
Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025?
0%
0%
6
2 comments
2
Superconductor Frontiers
When will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor first be used in a medical MRI?
2039-12-31
17 forecasters
6
1 comment
1
Superconductor Frontiers