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First human head transplant in 2017?

131 forecasters

7

First attempted human head transplant by end of 2020?

141 forecasters

10

When will the first organ from a non-primate be successfully transplanted into a human?

Resolved :Feb 6, 2022

19

Will someone report to have received a hemispherectomy for the purpose of life extension before 2100?

2

When will it become possible to transplant organs without the recipient needing immunosuppressant drugs?

9

When will the FDA or EMA first approve a drug for the treatment of obesity that causes >25% weight loss?

4

The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs

19

Metaculus Journal Archives

What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?

7

When will it be possible to continue one's growth after their growth plates have closed?

8

When will the first fully autonomous surgery or procedure be performed on a human?

15

AI Demonstrations