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Ragnarรถk Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
22%
31 forecasters
6
3 comments
3
Ragnarรถk Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due "other risks"?
20.6%
31 forecasters
3
9 comments
9
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
11 comments
11
When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?
5,000 bases
Oct 6, 2028
10,000 bases
Mar 24, 2030
2
23 comments
23
If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?
189k
9 forecasters
3
11 comments
11
How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?
1,000 bases
107
5,000 bases
71.4
5,000 bases
Annulled
2
13 comments
13
