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Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
1%
Japan
1%
Ukraine
1%
6 others
12
17 comments
17
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
2025:
1%
71
339 comments
339
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
70%
Saudi Arabia
23%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?
9
61%
10
31%
11
10%
4 others
4
12 comments
12
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Singapore
80%
Taiwan
73.1%
Vietnam
70%
9 others
6
6 comments
6
Chinese AI Chips
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
34%
104
200 comments
200
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?
1%
15
8 comments
8
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?
10%
32
53 comments
53
The Taiwan Tinderbox
If World War 3 happens before 2060, will the US and India be on the same side?
75%
11
5 comments
5
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?
65%
20
24 comments
24
The Taiwan Tinderbox
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