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Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved:
-28
2.8
65 forecasters
-175
-91.3
-7.5
76.3
160
15
20 comments
20
Will Zablon Simintov, the last remaining Jew in Afghanistan, leave before Kabul is captured by the Taliban?
Resolved:
No
30%
24 forecasters
25%
50%
75%
Aug 16
Aug 17
8
20 comments
20
Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Bangladesh
No
Pakistan
No
Papua New Guinea
No
6 others
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Nov 01
Nov 05
Nov 09
Nov 13
Nov 17
Nov 21
Nov 25
Nov 29
Dec 03
Dec 07
Dec 11
Dec 15
Dec 19
Dec 23
Dec 27
Dec 31
9
4 comments
4
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
30%
15 forecasters
Feb 05
Feb 09
Feb 13
Feb 17
Feb 21
Feb 25
Mar 01
Mar 05
Mar 09
Mar 13
Mar 17
Mar 21
Mar 25
Mar 29
Apr 02
2
5 comments
5
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