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Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025?
0.1%
110 forecasters
6
6 comments
6
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition
Khamenei Out as Leader of Iran in 2024?
26 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Iran War Before 2025?
2%
2%
US Iran War Before 2025?
1%
1%
3
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
condition
Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before 2024?
Resolved :
No
140 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Iran War Before 2025?
15%
15%
Resolved :
Annulled
US Iran War Before 2025?
2%
2%
13
3 comments
3
Conditional Cup
Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?
7.7%
16 forecasters
3
3 comments
3
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition
U.S. Nukes to Japan or Philippines by 2035?
7 forecasters
if yes
if no
US-China war before 2035?
11%
11%
US-China war before 2035?
7%
7%
2
no comments
0
The Taiwan Tinderbox