MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Will the IBM's Summit remain the top dog in supercomputing power?

5

What will be Top500's #1 performing supercomputer as a multiple of the #500 performer in 2030?

5

Will the United States continue to be the country with the largest share of computational power in the November 2019 TOP500?

10

What will the mean of the year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be, in the three year period ending in November 2023?

4

Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?

5

What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?

7

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round

When will zettascale computing be achieved?

9

What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be based in the United States in the November 2022 publication of TOP500 list?

7

Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round

What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their November 2022 list?

3

Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round

When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?

17