Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
8%
62 forecasters
13
20 comments
20
condition
NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027?
32 forecasters
if yes
if no
Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?
25%
25%
Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?
3%
3%
3
3 comments
3
Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?
Resolved :
No
1193 forecasters
57
138 comments
138
Ukraine Conflict
Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?
Resolved :
No
544 forecasters
22
41 comments
41
Ukraine Conflict
Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?
Resolved :
No
589 forecasters
23
59 comments
59
Ukraine Conflict
Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?
20%
75 forecasters
10
11 comments
11
Will there be a major conflict involving an external actor in Transnistria before July 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
84 forecasters
17
22 comments
22