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Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?

Resolved :No1%
1193 forecasters
57
138

Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?

Resolved :No1%
544 forecasters
22
41

Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?

Resolved :No1%
589 forecasters
23
59

Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?

22%
76 forecasters
11
12

Will there be a major conflict involving an external actor in Transnistria before July 1, 2023?

Resolved :No1%
84 forecasters
17
22

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

7%
76 forecasters
14
23
condition

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027?

43 forecasters
if yes
if no

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

36%
36%

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

2%
2%
4
3

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