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Will Reddit power user "maxwellhill" be confirmed to be Ghislaine Maxwell before 2026?
10%
153 forecasters
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Feb 14
Feb 18
Feb 22
Feb 26
Mar 02
Mar 06
Mar 10
Mar 14
Mar 18
Mar 22
Mar 26
Mar 30
Apr 03
Apr 07
Apr 11
14
68 comments
68
Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?
1%
100 forecasters
0%
2.5%
5%
Feb 14
Feb 18
Feb 22
Feb 26
Mar 02
Mar 06
Mar 10
Mar 14
Mar 18
Mar 22
Mar 26
Mar 30
Apr 03
Apr 07
Apr 11
8
12 comments
12
Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?
Resolved:
No
10%
74 forecasters
0%
10%
20%
30%
Nov 02
Nov 06
Nov 10
Nov 14
Nov 18
Nov 22
Nov 26
Nov 30
Dec 04
Dec 08
Dec 12
Dec 16
Dec 20
Dec 24
Dec 28
Jan 01
2
5 comments
5
Will Donald Trump tweet about QAnon before the end of October?
Resolved:
No
15%
52 forecasters
0%
20%
40%
60%
Sep 30
Oct 01
Oct 02
Oct 03
Oct 04
Oct 05
-9
7 comments
7
Will Alex Jones ever hold high Federal office in the United States before 2030?
1%
308 forecasters
0%
2.5%
5%
Feb 14
Feb 18
Feb 22
Feb 26
Mar 02
Mar 06
Mar 10
Mar 14
Mar 18
Mar 22
Mar 26
Mar 30
Apr 03
Apr 07
Apr 11
-17
44 comments
44
Foresight 2020
17
4 comments
4
Foresight 2020 Contest
By November 2nd, 2020, will Twitter temporarily or permanently suspend @realDonaldTrump, or @teamtrump, or @POTUS based on alleged violations of Twitter's Terms of Service?
Resolved:
Ambiguous
5%
332 forecasters
0%
10%
20%
30%
Aug 18
Aug 22
Aug 26
Aug 30
Sep 03
Sep 07
Sep 11
Sep 15
Sep 19
Sep 23
Sep 27
Oct 01
Oct 05
Oct 09
Oct 13
Oct 17
30
92 comments
92
Foresight 2020 Contest
Will Donald Trump tweet that Bernie Sanders is a communist before the 2020 election?
Resolved:
No
1%
192 forecasters
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Sep 04
Sep 08
Sep 12
Sep 16
Sep 20
Sep 24
Sep 28
Oct 02
Oct 06
Oct 10
Oct 14
Oct 18
Oct 22
Oct 26
Oct 30
Nov 03
5
45 comments
45
When will @JoeBiden reach 10% as many Twitter followers as @realdonaldtrump?
Resolved:
17 Aug 2020 21:53
20 Aug 2020 03:11
71 forecasters
30 Jun 2020
13 Feb 2021
30 Sep 2021
16 May 2022
31 Dec 2022
4
35 comments
35
Academy Summer Series
Announcing Round 2 of the Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters
5
1 comment
1
Academy Summer Series
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