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How many people will be estimated to have died of famine in Yemen before 2022?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
56 forecasters
16
27 comments
27
Will GiveWell recommend 1 or more grants to support breastfeeding promotion or denote it a "top charity" before 2027?
43%
34 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?
34.7%
31 forecasters
2 comments
2
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries?
Resolved :
Yes
717 forecasters
29
106 comments
106
Ukraine Conflict
condition
US Hyperinflation Before 2050
9 forecasters
if yes
if no
10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities
17%
17%
10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities
11%
11%
1
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project