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Will the first offensive nuclear detonation by 2024 be on a city, if there's an offensive detonation by then?
Resolved :
Annulled
78 forecasters
1
2 comments
2
Nuclear Risk Tournament
What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by the US by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?
0.0269
8 forecasters
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
If these countries are attacked by a nuclear weapon by 2030, how many cities in that country will be offensively attacked?
India
2.61
China
12.8
Israel
2.3
5 others
1
5 comments
5
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project