Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will Michael Bloomberg emerge as the leading moderate candidate after Super Tuesday?
Resolved :
No
101 forecasters
11
58 comments
58
How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin on January 1, 2027?
6.35
43 forecasters
9
7 comments
7
Flu Hospitalizations for VT
July 2:
Resolved :
3
40 forecasters
4
56 comments
56
FluSight Challenge 2021/22
Will Cris Ericson win the 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont?
Resolved :
No
33 forecasters
-1
9 comments
9
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
35%
Florida
20%
47 others
10
30 comments
30
Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday?
Donald Trump
Yes
Nikki Haley
No
Ron DeSantis
No
3 others
11
5 comments
5
Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?
29.2%
7 forecasters
6
4 comments
4