Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will Wikileaks publish the full "Panama Papers" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?
Resolved :
No
42 forecasters
7
8 comments
8
Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?
Resolved :
No
27 forecasters
7
5 comments
5
Will the key to any pre-2020 WikiLeaks insurance file be publicly available by 2030?
31.9%
38 forecasters
7
4 comments
4
When will Julian Assange be extradited to the US?
2025-01-01
47 forecasters
10
41 comments
41
Verity