Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will 5 states have ranked-choice voting for their US senators?
2031-01-19
23 forecasters
12
13 comments
13
Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?
Resolved :
No
31 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?
Resolved :
No
93 forecasters
11
21 comments
21
Will the Democratic candidate for the 2020 US presidential election be chosen at the Democratic National Convention after only one round of voting?
Resolved :
Yes
70 forecasters
5
10 comments
10
Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?
Resolved :
No
173 forecasters
12
105 comments
105
Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?
Resolved :
No
94 forecasters
9
21 comments
21
Will any states flip from the current projected winner?
Resolved :
No
202 forecasters
22
119 comments
119
Will Ron Johnson win the 2022 Wisconsin US Senate election?
Resolved :
Yes
92 forecasters
6
34 comments
34
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
35%
Florida
20%
47 others
10
30 comments
30