Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?
Iowa
99%
Alaska
98%
Ohio
97%
20 others
40
249 comments
249
Will Nebraska legally allocate its electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis in the 2024 presidential election?
1%
7
8 comments
8
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
34%
Florida
23.6%
47 others
9
30 comments
30
Which jurisdiction will be the "Tipping Point" in the 2024 US presidential election?
Pennsylvania
39.75%
Wisconsin
17.31%
Michigan
13.28%
10 others
7
36 comments
36
condition
Will the GOP win these battleground states? (Wisconsin)
if yes
if no
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
25%
25%
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
70%
70%
5
2 comments
2
Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?
Resolved :
No
5
3 comments
3
Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?
Resolved :
No
11
21 comments
21
Will the Democratic candidate for the 2020 US presidential election be chosen at the Democratic National Convention after only one round of voting?
Resolved :
Yes
5
10 comments
10
Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?
Resolved :
No
12
105 comments
105
Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?
Resolved :
No
9
21 comments
21
Load more