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By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?
Resolved :
Yes
31 forecasters
6
7 comments
7
Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?
Resolved :
Yes
50 forecasters
2
8 comments
8
Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?
Resolved :
Yes
40 forecasters
2
9 comments
9
Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?
Resolved :
No
96 forecasters
18
8 comments
8
Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?
Resolved :
No
93 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?
Resolved :
No
83 forecasters
9
4 comments
4
Pandemic Series (2018)
Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?
Resolved :
No
61 forecasters
6
1 comment
1
Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?
Resolved :
No
67 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Ukraine, Russia, Georgia or Armenia between 1 June 2018 and 31 August 2018?
Resolved :
No
86 forecasters
3 comments
3
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Before 2032, will the US declare a new public health emergency due to an infectious disease outbreak or bioterrorist attack?
Resolved :
Yes
39 forecasters
9
7 comments
7
Biosecurity Tournament
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