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Bridgewater 2025

AI Benchmarking

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What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years?

1.24621k per 100k

8

Forecasting Our World in Data

What will be the total global disease burden (in DALYs) due to lead exposure in the following years?

6

Forecasting Our World in Data

What will be the median estimated range (in miles) of all-electric vehicles available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) for the following model years?

8

Climate Tipping Points Round 1

Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?

11

What will be the minimum arctic sea ice extent in the following years?

4.213 million km²

6

What will be the maximum arctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?

14.646 million km²

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

139 forecasters

20

When will be the first year that the 2˚C climate threshold is crossed?

131 forecasters

25

What will be the maximum Antartic sea ice extent in these years?

Below lower bound

3

What will be the minimum Antartic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?

1.766 million km²

1

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