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When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

18 Aug 2028 (23 Dec 2026 - Aug 2032)

223
623623 comments
1.8k
1.8k forecasters
18 Aug 2028
(23 Dec 2026 - Aug 2032)

When will gross world product exceed every previous year by 30% due to AI?

Jan 2042 (Sep 2031 - 2081)

26
6565 comments
178
178 forecasters
Jan 2042
(Sep 2031 - 2081)

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?

40
173173 comments
279
279 forecasters

When will AIs program programs that can program AIs?

04 Feb 2028 (28 Jul 2026 17:25 - Sep 2031)

95
7676 comments
640
640 forecasters
04 Feb 2028
(28 Jul 2026 17:25 - Sep 2031)