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Will the CDC confirm a case of Marburg virus disease in a US resident before January 1, 2025?
Closed
31 forecasters
no comments
0
Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Forecast With GiveWell Comment Deadline Extended to End of December ($2,250 in Prizes Available)!
13
5 comments
5
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
20%
54 forecasters
10
22 comments
22
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
237
16 forecasters
2
10 comments
10
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
condition
Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?
2 forecasters
if yes
if no
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
298
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
265
6 comments
6
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before January 1, 2025?
Closed
27 forecasters
no comments
0
Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?
United Kingdom
Yes
United States
Yes
Zambia
Yes
12 others
14 comments
14
How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?
21 to 100
88.42%
More than 100
11.28%
0
0.1%
2 others
7
95 comments
95
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?
69%
9 forecasters
1
5 comments
5
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season?
December 21, 2024
11.9k
December 7, 2024
5.33k
November 23, 2024
2.06k
9 others
10 comments
10
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
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