Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Forecast With GiveWell: Share Insights > Earn Prizes
11
no comments
0
Forecast With GiveWell
Will the study in Ghana find that RTS,S combined with malaria chemoprevention reduces clinical malaria more than RTS,S alone in the following age groups?
18 months old
69%
24 months old
66%
no comments
0
Forecast With GiveWell
Will the study of chlorine distribution in Sierra Leone find a statistically significant increase in chlorine usage by the recipients?
85%
-1
no comments
0
Forecast With GiveWell
What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?
RSV: December 28, 2024
42
RSV: March 29, 2025
46.2
Influenza: December 28, 2024
50.8
3 others
1
16 comments
16
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?
Closed
43
46 comments
46
Pandemic Series (2018)
How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?
Closed
39
78 comments
78
Mpox (Monkeypox)
What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?
2.17
2
8 comments
8
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?
5%
3
5 comments
5
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?
Forecast data is empty
1
8 comments
8
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?
Closed
29
6 comments
6
Pandemic Series (2018)
Load more