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Forecast With GiveWell: Share Insights > Earn Prizes
11
no comments
0
Forecast With GiveWell
Will the study of supplying eyeglasses to near-vision impaired adults in Kenya and India find a boost to household consumption of the following levels?
โฅ3%
45%
โฅ5%
40%
4
1 comment
1
Forecast With GiveWell
When will the Open Philanthropy Project have donated a total of $7 billion of Good Ventures money?
Closed
6
19 comments
19
How many members will Giving What We Can have on 2029-11-15, its 20th anniversary?
Closed
5
7 comments
7
Will a Universal Jailbreak be found in Anthropic's bug bounty program by 11/10/24?
20%
4
2 comments
2
Zvi's Community
Predictions as Public Works Project โย What Metaculus Is Building Next
12
no comments
0
Platform feature suggestions
110
2.7k comments
2.7k
Metaculus Meta
If a small inducement prize platform is created for effective altruists, how many dollars of prize money will be disbursed within a year?
Closed
4
5 comments
5
When Will an AI be Amongst the Best Forecasters on Metaculus
2027-02-24
1
2 comments
2
David Mathers' Community
What type of research group will develop the first transformative AI?
For-profit
80%
Government
10%
Non-profit
8%
3 others
17
7 comments
7
Situational Awareness
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