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Forecast the Direction of the US in the POTUS Predictions Tournament

20
2

Will a federal judge be impeached by Republican Representatives in a partisan vote before January 3, 2027?

120 forecasters
0%25%50%75%100%Mar 29Mar 30Mar 31Apr 01

7
5

What will the effective US tariff rate on goods being imported into the United States be at the end of 2026?

89 forecasters
0%

3
0

Which party will hold a plurality in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?

Democrats
?
Republicans
?
Other
?
0%25%50%75%100%Mar 29Mar 30Mar 31Apr 01

4
0

Will humans go extinct before 2100?

0.5%
1453 forecasters
0%5%10%15%20%25%Feb 02Feb 06Feb 10Feb 14Feb 18Feb 22Feb 26Mar 02Mar 06Mar 10Mar 14Mar 18Mar 22Mar 26Mar 30
77
343

Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election?

Liberal
70%
Conservative
30%
New Democratic
0.1%
3 others
0%25%50%75%100%Feb 02Feb 06Feb 10Feb 14Feb 18Feb 22Feb 26Mar 02Mar 06Mar 10Mar 14Mar 18Mar 22Mar 26Mar 30
18
17

Platform feature suggestions

112
2.8k

Will the US establish a government program rewarding information leading to deportations before January 3, 2027?

80 forecasters
0%25%50%75%100%Mar 29Mar 30Mar 31Apr 01

1
6

How many journalists in the US will face criminal charges related to their work before 2027?

80 forecasters
1 journalists

4
3

Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?

0 or 1
41.05%
2 or 3
38.48%
4 or 5
12.86%
3 others
0%20%40%60%Feb 02Feb 06Feb 10Feb 14Feb 18Feb 22Feb 26Mar 02Mar 06Mar 10Mar 14Mar 18Mar 22Mar 26Mar 30
8
2

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