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Bridgewater 2025
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Will the Universe end?

70%
524 forecasters
25%50%75%100%Jan 31Feb 04Feb 08Feb 12Feb 16Feb 20Feb 24Feb 28Mar 04Mar 08Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28
32
53
Closes Jan 1, 2026

If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

Mars
33%
Europa
31%
Enceladus
10%
7 others
0%10%20%30%40%50%Jan 31Feb 04Feb 08Feb 12Feb 16Feb 20Feb 24Feb 28Mar 04Mar 08Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28
16
16
Closes Dec 31, 2049

When will successful sample return missions occur for the following destinations?

Venus
Jan 2036
Outer planets
Jan 2036
Mars
Sep 2033
Jan 31Feb 04Feb 08Feb 12Feb 16Feb 20Feb 24Feb 28Mar 04Mar 08Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28
8
14
Closes Jan 1, 2036

Will Parker Solar Probe survive its 24 loops around the sun while getting just a few million miles away from the surface of our star?

90%
129 forecasters
80%85%90%95%100%Jan 31Feb 04Feb 08Feb 12Feb 16Feb 20Feb 24Feb 28Mar 04Mar 08Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28
15
18
Closes Aug 12, 2025

Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?

48%
1263 forecasters
20%40%60%80%Jan 31Feb 04Feb 08Feb 12Feb 16Feb 20Feb 24Feb 28Mar 04Mar 08Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28
50
91
Closes Dec 31, 2049

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

36%
379 forecasters
10%20%30%40%50%60%Jan 31Feb 04Feb 08Feb 12Feb 16Feb 20Feb 24Feb 28Mar 04Mar 08Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28
58
20
Closes Jan 1, 2100

When will the first O'Neill cylinder variant be completed?

2097
35 forecasters
30 Mar 2021
6
11
Closes Dec 31, 2025

Will alien technosignatures be detected before 2050?

3%
460 forecasters
0%5%10%15%Jan 31Feb 04Feb 08Feb 12Feb 16Feb 20Feb 24Feb 28Mar 04Mar 08Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28
57
70
Closes Dec 31, 2049

Will SpinLaunch lift a satellite to low Earth orbit by 2032?

4%
64 forecasters
0%5%10%15%Jan 31Feb 04Feb 08Feb 12Feb 16Feb 20Feb 24Feb 28Mar 04Mar 08Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28
15
23
Closes Aug 14, 2032

Will any asteroid or comet have been mined in space for commercial purposes before 2030?

3%
195 forecasters
0%5%10%Jan 31Feb 04Feb 08Feb 12Feb 16Feb 20Feb 24Feb 28Mar 04Mar 08Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28
29
16
Closes Jan 1, 2030

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