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Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?
3%
31 forecasters
7
2 comments
2
Will the Universe end?
75%
510 forecasters
31
48 comments
48
When will alien technosignatures be detected for the first time?
2512-02-16
116 forecasters
18
23 comments
23
Verity
Drake's Equation 3rd parameter n_e: What is the average number of habitable planets per star?
0.0478
175 forecasters
26
11 comments
11
Fermi Paradox Series
Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?
0.1%
107 forecasters
15
1 comment
1
When will the next interstellar object be discovered?
2025-06-06
64 forecasters
11
5 comments
5
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
5%
42 forecasters
5
no comments
0
condition
OpenAI solves alignment before June 30 2027?
90 forecasters
if yes
if no
Human Extinction by 2100
1%
1%
Human Extinction by 2100
4%
4%
14
11 comments
11
AI Safety
When will there be a round trip crewed mission to Neptune's orbit?
2109-03-21
18 forecasters
6
48 comments
48
Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?
Resolved :
No
10 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
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