Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?
Milk recall due to H5N1
0.9%
US officials warn against drinking milk
0.2%
Confirmed H5N1 infection from retail milk
0.1%
4
15 comments
15
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a โPublic Health Emergency of International Concernโ by the World Health Organization before 2030?
33.3%
22 forecasters
5
2 comments
2
Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?
31.2%
26 forecasters
2
no comments
0
Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply
7
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
How many birds will be affected by avian influenza in Virginia in 2023?
Resolved :
37.5k
43 forecasters
5
15 comments
15
Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series
Keep Virginia Safe II Update
12
11 comments
11
Keep Virginia Safe II
Will a bird flu outbreak among minks on an additional mink farm result in the minks being culled before 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
22 forecasters
6
8 comments
8
What will be the average price (in cents per dozen) of eggs in the US for the week of Easter?
Resolved :
Annulled
54 forecasters
2
4 comments
4
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Warmup
What will be the settle price for May 2024 Feeder Cattle futures contracts on April 15, 2024?
Resolved :
238
54 forecasters
13
7 comments
7
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Warmup
