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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?
75%
187 forecasters
19
8 comments
8
Biosecurity Tournament
Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?
59%
114 forecasters
16
9 comments
9
Biosecurity Tournament
Will the United States pass a law setting deadlines on NEPA review before January 1, 2027?
49.4%
20 forecasters
1
2 comments
2
Climate Tipping Points Round 2
When will legal international trade in recreational cannabis take place?
2029-12-12
9 forecasters
2 comments
2
Will a Guaranteed Minimum Income be introduced in any EU country before 2041?
72%
162 forecasters
24
32 comments
32
When will most eggs produced in the USA be sexed before hatching?
2031-07-13
34 forecasters
10
12 comments
12
Animal Welfare Series
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Impermissibility of eating animals and animal products
Resolved :
18.4
65 forecasters
13
14 comments
14
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
65 forecasters
15
20 comments
20
When will the US-Canada border reopen?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
66 forecasters
16
39 comments
39
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