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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
69%
Afghanistan
60%
70 others
20
62 comments
62
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
68%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
210 comments
210
Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?
31%
1305 forecasters
148
245 comments
245
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?
61%
331 forecasters
20
25 comments
25
The Taiwan Tinderbox
The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times
13
4 comments
4
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024?
71%
380 forecasters
10
15 comments
15
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
3%
Germany
1%
Taiwan
1%
6 others
12
22 comments
22
Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?
11%
199 forecasters
16
41 comments
41
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
2025:
1%
778 forecasters
72
349 comments
349
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?
8%
222 forecasters
32
53 comments
53
The Taiwan Tinderbox
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