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Will NAD+ boosters be shown in a systematic review to increase human lifespan by >=5% by 2030?

10

Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?

167 forecasters

53

Playing God Series

Will any (non-UK) European Union member state grant regulatory approval for clinical trials using human embryonic stem cells by the end of May?

Resolved :Ambiguous

6

A medical pathway to complete painlessness?

260 forecasters

32

Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?

149 forecasters

21

Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?

6

Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?

4

Ideas for clinical trials contest

17

When will 10M people be administered a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?

Resolved :Jan 30, 2021

272 forecasters

66

239 comments239

When will 100M people receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?

Resolved :Apr 18, 2021

21