Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?
Resolved :
No
93 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
Will US consumers be unable to purchase the Cavendish banana at major US grocery chains on December 31, 2029?
18%
54 forecasters
8
4 comments
4
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Region of the Americas by March 27?
Resolved :
81.1k
59 forecasters
6
17 comments
17
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
How many FAO domestic food price warnings in spring 2023?
Resolved :
16
18 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup?
Spain
Yes
England
No
United States
No
29 others
8
20 comments
20
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
When will countries making up a combined share of global GDP of 50% or more have a carbon tax?
2035-12-02
8 forecasters
2
4 comments
4