Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
55%
554 forecasters
87
79 comments
79
Will there be a sustained human settlement on the Moon for at least 1 year before 2030?
0.3%
188 forecasters
14
22 comments
22
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?
2040-08-27
61 forecasters
17
8 comments
8
Verity
The Future of Human Spaceflight
10
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
What will be the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors in the following years?
2025:
2.09
40 forecasters
6
8 comments
8
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?
2.55
85 forecasters
8
5 comments
5
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
