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Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?

1460 forecasters

221

146 comments146

When will image recognition be made robust against unrestricted adversaries?

15

How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2021-06-14 period?

Resolved :8.21k

3

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?

Resolved :17.2k

1

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round

How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?

Resolved :37.1k

2

Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round

Deep Learning ourselves into the unknown

3

AI Progress Essay Contest

By what date will an AI system demonstrate human-level accuracy in extracting data from all types of charts in documents?

2