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Will the Universe end?

510 forecasters

31

Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c (> 1)?

9

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

356 forecasters

55

Ragnarök Series

OpenAI solves alignment before June 30 2027?

Human Extinction by 2100

Human Extinction by 2100

14

Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?

6

Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?

110 forecasters

24

Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?

18

Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?

15

Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?

10

Will the (theoretical) existence of "dark matter hair" change the way we look for dark matter?

5