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How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"?

7

Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025?

10

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

247 forecasters

28

Ragnarök Series

Will there be a global thermonuclear war by 2070?

223 forecasters

37

Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025?

7

Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?

214 forecasters

23

Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated by January 1, 2024?

686 forecasters

83

102 comments102

Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated before 2035?

166 forecasters

29

If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?

3

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and (Sort Of) Love Nuclear Forecasting

21

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