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Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
2%
125 forecasters
10
4 comments
4
Will Russia recognize a breakaway state of any territories claimed by Ukraine by 2023?
15
18 comments
18
If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
358 forecasters
20
64 comments
64
Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?
Resolved :
No
544 forecasters
22
41 comments
41
Ukraine Conflict
How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022?
Resolved :
5.91M
386 forecasters
14
47 comments
47
Ukraine Conflict
How Many Casualties Will There be in the Russia-Ukraine Conflict?
12
3 comments
3
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024?
Resolved :
No
447 forecasters
13
12 comments
12
Ukraine Conflict
Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
No
506 forecasters
19
23 comments
23
Ukraine Conflict
Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
607 forecasters
21
56 comments
56
Ukraine Conflict
Will Ukraine be confirmed to have used chemical weapons against Russian forces by January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
No
65 forecasters
8 comments
8
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