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Will Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena have an ontologically-shocking explanation?
1%
90 forecasters
9
13 comments
13
Will molecular nanotechnology have been proven feasible by the following years?
2050
77%
2040
56.2%
2030
24.2%
6
1 comment
1
Future of AI
After a weak AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent oracle?
19.7
231 forecasters
44
36 comments
36
AGI Outcomes
After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?
42.2
283 forecasters
35
47 comments
47
AGI Outcomes
2022 Resolutions: Predict with Public Figures
12
no comments
0
