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If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved vaccine?

5

Biosecurity Tournament

Will the FDA authorise the use of remdesivir to treat COVID-19 by the end of 2020?

Resolved :Ambiguous

19

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved by the U.S. FDA as of 30 June 2021?

124 forecasters

15

Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA within a week after the 26 February VRBPAC meeting?

129 forecasters

13

Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA before 2022?

3

When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine receive full BLA approval by the U.S. FDA?

Resolved :Aug 23, 2021

5

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

When will Paxlovid be given an EUA from the FDA?

Resolved :Dec 22, 2021

12

When will the FDA authorize an oral antiviral treatment for SARS-CoV-2?

Resolved :Dec 22, 2021

6

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 3

Will the U.S. CDC classify Omicron as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before 2023?

128 forecasters

17

What percentage of US children under 5-years-old will have at least one dose of any COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022?

11

2022 Scott Alexander predictions