Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
95%
North Macedonia
87%
Albania
85%
17 others
65%
75%
85%
95%
Jan 31
Feb 04
Feb 08
Feb 12
Feb 16
Feb 20
Feb 24
Feb 28
Mar 04
Mar 08
Mar 12
Mar 16
Mar 20
Mar 24
Mar 28
25
51 comments
51
Closes
Dec 31, 2049
When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process?
1: Candidacy recommended
17 Jun 2022 05:00
2: Candidacy granted
23 Jun 2022 13:30
3: Negotiations recommended
08 Nov 2023 12:00
8 others
15 Jun 2022
03 Nov 2026
Mar 2031
Aug 2035
Jan 2040
Jan 31
Feb 04
Feb 08
Feb 12
Feb 16
Feb 20
Feb 24
Feb 28
Mar 04
Mar 08
Mar 12
Mar 16
Mar 20
Mar 24
Mar 28
10
51 comments
51
Closes
Dec 31, 2039
Will the following countries intervene military if there is a Second Korean War by 2050?
United States
93%
China
80%
Any EU country
64%
2 others
40%
60%
80%
100%
Jan 31
Feb 04
Feb 08
Feb 12
Feb 16
Feb 20
Feb 24
Feb 28
Mar 04
Mar 08
Mar 12
Mar 16
Mar 20
Mar 24
Mar 28
5
6 comments
6
Closes
Jan 1, 2050
When will most eggs produced in the EU be sexed before hatching?
10 Oct 2027
28 forecasters
13 Feb 2021
9
7 comments
7
Closes
Nov 6, 2040
Animal Welfare Series
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
8%
374 forecasters
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Jan 31
Feb 04
Feb 08
Feb 12
Feb 16
Feb 20
Feb 24
Feb 28
Mar 04
Mar 08
Mar 12
Mar 16
Mar 20
Mar 24
Mar 28
36
25 comments
25
Closes
Dec 31, 2049
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
What will be the largest GDPR fine before 2031, measured in billions of Euros?
3.95 bn €
5 forecasters
1.2 bn €
3
9 comments
9
Closes
Dec 31, 2030
Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?
16%
374 forecasters
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Jan 31
Feb 04
Feb 08
Feb 12
Feb 16
Feb 20
Feb 24
Feb 28
Mar 04
Mar 08
Mar 12
Mar 16
Mar 20
Mar 24
Mar 28
45
74 comments
74
Closes
Dec 31, 2029
What percentage of egg-laying hens will be cage-free, in the U.S., in June 2025?
42.9%
57 forecasters
0%
10
13 comments
13
Closes
Jan 1, 2026
Animal Welfare Series
What will annual inflation be in the eurozone in the following years?
2023
5.4%
2024
2.4%
2025
4.32
5 others
-5
0
5
10
15
2026
2027
2030
2024
2025
2028
2029
2023
8
7 comments
7
Closes
Jan 1, 2031
Economic Indicators
Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?
90%
90 forecasters
70%
80%
90%
100%
Jan 31
Feb 04
Feb 08
Feb 12
Feb 16
Feb 20
Feb 24
Feb 28
Mar 04
Mar 08
Mar 12
Mar 16
Mar 20
Mar 24
Mar 28
17
14 comments
14
Closes
Dec 31, 2028
Load More
We use cookies 🍪 to understand how you use Metaculus and to improve your experience.
Learn more about how we use cookies in our
Privacy Policy
Necessary only
Customize
Accept and close