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If there's a nuclear conflict involving >100 detonations, will that cause >1 million fatalities within 1 month?
99%
32 forecasters
-1
1 comment
1
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
If there's a nuclear conflict involving >1,000 detonations, will that cause more than 4 billion fatalities within 10 years?
60%
40 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
How many metric tons of ≥20% cultured meat will be sold from 2020 to 2050?
2025:
308
20 forecasters
10
3 comments
3
Animal Welfare Series
A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
679 forecasters
110
48 comments
48
Playing God Series
Playing God Question Series
7
no comments
0
Playing God Series
How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2027, in millions of 2019 USD?
3.3k
24 forecasters
6
1 comment
1
Animal Welfare Series
How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2030, in millions of USD?
7.09k
27 forecasters
5
4 comments
4
Animal Welfare Series
When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?
2027-02-01
44 forecasters
6
3 comments
3
Animal Welfare Series
What will be the lowest retail price, in 2019USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat in 2026?
16.4
41 forecasters
6
6 comments
6
Animal Welfare Series
What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?
12.4
34 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
Animal Welfare Series
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