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Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?

7

Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?

127 forecasters

14

A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious

5

AI ambiguity Series

Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?

3

Pandemic Series (2018)

A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?

5

What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2021-06-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)?

5

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Will ≥3 million Americans be locked down because of B117 by March 11th, 2021?

11

What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2022-01-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)?

2

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round

When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 100?

Resolved :Above upper bound

17

What will be the percent of S:N501 sequences in the U.S. among all positive SARS-CoV-2 samples submitted to the GISAID database of genetic sequences between 2021-03-01 and 2021-03-07 (inclusive)?

7