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Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?

Resolved :Yes10%

462 forecasters

33

Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?

136 forecasters

2

Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?

146 forecasters

9

Will Donald Trump face a significant primary challenge in 2020?

Resolved :No15%

233 forecasters

23

How much will President Trump govern by decree?

Resolved :1.050.928

7

What is the probability that Gore will defeat Bush in the 2000 US Presidential Election?

Resolved :Annulled0.645

5

If the Republican candidate in 2020 wins the electoral college, will they lose the popular vote?

Resolved :Ambiguous72%

110 forecasters

6

Will George W. Bush endorse Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election?

8

Will a major network call the election prematurely?

Resolved :No13%

When will the US close the Guantanamo Bay detention camp?

9