MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?

2

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

9

Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?

2

Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Ukraine, Russia, Georgia or Armenia between 1 June 2018 and 31 August 2018?

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?

173 forecasters

12

105 comments105

LRT 2.4: What will the average number of new daily confirmed cases be, over the period from 10th, till May 16th, in the state of Georgia?

4

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Will any states flip from the current projected winner?

202 forecasters

22

119 comments119

What will the margin of victory be between Kelly Loeffler and Raphael Warnock in the 2020 5 Jan GA Special Election?

Resolved :-2.08

9

"Foot Voting" Coordination Efforts

17

Will any state leave NATO before 2024?

208 forecasters

18

Nuclear Risk Tournament