MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

31

210 comments210

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

20

Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup?

Spain-Portugal-Morocco

Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay

Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco

3

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

7

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?

308 forecasters

21

Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?

142 forecasters

5

20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

What will the maximum z-score be for Greece for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?

5

Will there be a 7.0 or larger earthquake either somewhere under or within 81 Kilometres the Eastern Mediterranean Sea in 2021?

5

In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?

11

Animal Welfare Series

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?

106 forecasters

7