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condition
Khamenei Out as Leader of Iran in 2024?
26 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Iran War Before 2025?
2%
2%
US Iran War Before 2025?
1%
1%
3
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
Will there be ≥ 100 deaths due to conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2030?
Resolved :
Yes
286 forecasters
31
155 comments
155
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition
Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before 2024?
Resolved :
No
29 forecasters
if yes
if no
1,000 Dead In Israel/Iran Conflict by 2025?
66%
66%
Resolved :
Annulled
1,000 Dead In Israel/Iran Conflict by 2025?
3%
3%
2
2 comments
2
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024?
Resolved :
No
129 forecasters
10
33 comments
33
Israel-Gaza Conflict
The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times
13
1 comment
1
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024?
Resolved :
No
403 forecasters
12
82 comments
82
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025?
Resolved :
Yes
172 forecasters
15
76 comments
76
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition
Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before May 2024?
Resolved :
No
30 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Iran War Before 2025?
8%
8%
Resolved :
Annulled
US Iran War Before 2025?
1%
1%
7
2 comments
2
Conditional Cup
