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A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic
Resolved :
No
110 forecasters
20
13 comments
13
AI ambiguity Series
When will the first 49+ qubit universal quantum computer be constructed?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
85 forecasters
25
17 comments
17
Of the top 10 AI companies, how many will pledge not to develop lethal autonomous weapons?
Resolved :
2
96 forecasters
8
7 comments
7
Business of AI
โ๏ธPrimum Non Nocere: A Physicianโs Perspective on AI in Medicine
10
no comments
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Metaculus Journal Archives
What will be the record for log quantum volume over the next five years?
2024:
21.9
6 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Google DeepMind
45%
Microsoft
28.6%
Meta
20%
13 others
5
8 comments
8
Future of AI
How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?
14.7M
4 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
