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Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
≤5 nm
98.5%
≤3 nm
90%
≤2 nm
28.3%
10
5 comments
5
Chinese AI Chips
Will a Chinese fab achieve a process with a density of greater than 150M transistors per square millimeter by 2027?
72%
21 forecasters
10
no comments
0
Chinese AI Chips
Will humanity (essentially) run out of at least one element currently considered "under serious threat" by 2040?
36.9%
148 forecasters
15
17 comments
17
Will the significant discrepancies in Hubble parameter determinations be resolved by 2030 within the ΛCDM standard cosmological model?
51.4%
46 forecasters
14
11 comments
11
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
46.9%
77 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
Ragnarök Series
Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025?
21%
50 forecasters
5
21 comments
21
Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025?
7.4%
39 forecasters
no comments
0
The Decarbonization of Heat in the UK
8
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
What will be the total value of the green hydrogen/ammonia market in 2050 (in trillions 2021 USD)?
1
7 forecasters
1
6 comments
6
Will >1% of global primary aluminum be produced by carbon-free technology before 2030?
41.9%
25 forecasters
7
9 comments
9
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