Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will at least two of the largest Abrahamic religions recognize the arrival of the Messiah in the next 200 years?
1%
29 forecasters
5
26 comments
26
What percent of the global population will identify as "religiously unaffiliated" in 2050?
21
115 forecasters
22
12 comments
12
A new major religion on 1 January 2050?
6
31 comments
31
An Advancing Islamic State in Nigeria?
16
4 comments
4