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Will any of the 20 most valuable public companies in the United States (As of January 2019) file for bankruptcy protection before 2025?

191 forecasters

23

In the year ending in November 2nd, 2020, will the combined U.S. investment in psychedelics research and psychedelics-focused startups exceed $100M?

100 forecasters

11

Foresight 2020 Contest

How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved by the U.S. FDA as of 30 June 2021?

124 forecasters

15

What will be the absolute efficacy of the single-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing?

5

When will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?

Resolved :Feb 27, 2021

2

Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA within a week after the 26 February VRBPAC meeting?

129 forecasters

13

Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA before 2022?

3

Will sufficient SARS-CoV-2 vaccine supply for all U.S. adults be allocated by 31 May 2021?

13

What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-03-31?

5

What will be the cumulative number of people who receive two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-03-31?

Resolved :59.2M

4