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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

31

210 comments210

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

20

Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?

274 forecasters

36

Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7?

22

What will be the total expenditure on the military in the US, in billions USD, in 2022?

Resolved :Above upper bound

4

Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11?

163 forecasters

35

165 comments165

When will the Taliban take Kabul?

Resolved :Aug 15, 2021

21

Will Zablon Simintov, the last remaining Jew in Afghanistan, leave before Kabul is captured by the Taliban?

8

Will at least 2 US diplomats die or be captured in the evacuation of Kabul?

135 forecasters

14

Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?

5