Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Quarterly Cup Tournament: Q4 2024
27
35 comments
35
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
If Republicans win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 election, who will be the next Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives?
Rep. Tom Emmer
Yes
Rep. Jim Banks
No
Rep. Drew Ferguson
No
3
23 comments
23
[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress?
Kevin McCarthy (R)
Yes
Andy Biggs (R)
No
Patrick McHenry (R)
No
10 others
18
75 comments
75
[Short Fuse] How many ballots will it take to elect the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress?
Resolved :
15
68 forecasters
11
35 comments
35
Will Kevin McCarthy be Speaker of the House on January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
No
128 forecasters
4
20 comments
20
Will a vote on a Republican-introduced resolution to vacate the Speaker of the House be held before July 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
56 forecasters
3
9 comments
9
Will Kevin McCarthy visit Taiwan in 2023?
Resolved :
No
70 forecasters
5
7 comments
7
Will the "Limit, Save, Grow Act" pass the US House of Representatives before May 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
23 forecasters
3
9 comments
9
📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
condition
"Limit, Save, Grow Act" Passes before May?
Resolved :
Yes
19 forecasters
if yes
if no
U.S. Debt Default Before July 1, 2023?
1%
1%
Resolved :
No
U.S. Debt Default Before July 1, 2023?
2%
2%
Resolved :
Annulled
6
no comments
0
📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
Will a vote on a Republican-introduced resolution to vacate the Speaker of the House be held before October 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
83 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Load More
